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In politics, especially around big elections, you're liking to hear supposed truisms: no modern president has won without Ohio (except for JFK), Missouri is similarly a bellwether state (not counting 1956 and 2008 of course), and everything rests on winning the Iowa caucus (which this graphic shows to be completely false).
In fact, the fast approaching 2012 Iowa caucus won't be very predictive at all (unless of course Mitt Romney can pull a narrow win in the split field). For Republican nominees, New Hampshire is the far more important state to win and it looks like Mitt Romney already has the primary all wrapped up.
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